Several top college football players, including Georgia quarterback Jamie Newman, have already chosen to opt out of the season due to coronavirus concerns. More could follow. So, bettors will need to stay on top of the depth charts even more than usual and make sure to know which players are suiting up.
Players could also be forced to sit out if they test positive for coronavirus before a game. This could have a huge impact on late line movement and will be something to monitor each week throughout the season. College football crowds have perhaps a bigger impact on the outcome than any other sport.
From the raucous student sections to marching bands and decades-long animosity among fan bases, environment can make all the difference, especially in conference games. This year will look and sound a lot different. Jam-packed bleachers in places like Death Valley and Gainesville can make it really tough on opposing offenses in the red zone. Communication is far more difficult. This year, games should be played in more muted environments.
Road teams should be able to stay better composed on offense as a result. The Tigers led the nation with The College Football Playoff field was certainly all about scoring. Bettors that identify elite offenses early in the year should do well on futures bets. But on a week-to-week basis, bettors might want to look closer at the other side of the ball.
Because the top defensive teams in covered at an elite rate. Teams that finished the season top in total defense went a combined against the spread, cashing in at a All 10 teams had a winning record against the spread and were at least two games over. Betting the top offensive teams every game would have been profitable as well, by a significantly smaller margin. Elite defensive teams were undervalued throughout the season.
Identifying the top defensive units early, especially for off-the-radar teams, will prove highly beneficial for college football bettors. As bookmakers and college football fans adapt to the new reality, there are only limited college football futures odds available. Still, there are a few bets you can jump on now. USC transfer JT Daniels has starting experience, at least, and they still have playmakers on offense. The Bulldogs should have the best defense in the country and return almost every starter from a unit that finished third in the nation in total defense.
Georgia should be the class of the East division and return to the conference championship game. There appears to be some value on the Cowboys here. The defense returns 10 starters from last year and the Cowboys figure to be very competitive in any conference game. This is going to be an unusual season, so you might as well look for some value picks with conference championship futures.
Clemson has won the league five years in a row. Alabama returns quarterback Mac Jones, who stepped in midseason and showed promise with a plus yard, four-touchdown showing in a loss at Auburn. Alabama looks loaded again on offense and should get a revenge cover against the Tigers. You can expect these kinds of college football odds on every game day. Moneyline: Moneyline bets mean wagering that a team will win the game.
No point spread or anything. Point Spread: Point spreads handicap college football games to create equal wagering on both sides. The winning team is irrelevant. Bettors then wager on whether the combined score will be more or less than The over would hit in either scenario. Prop bets : Sportsbooks offer a ton of college football prop bets throughout the season. There are also game props like whether or not there will be a special teams touchdown or the teams will combine for more or less than 3.
Parlay betting : Parlays are a series of bets packaged together for a bigger potential payout. Outside of the realm of professional sports bettors, few college football fans have the robotic abilities it takes to fully handicap every game that takes place during a week of play. That would mean handicapping thousands of games every season, and with large teams and a wealth of raw data to mine, it is an impossible task.
Unfortunately, NCAA football fans are so passionate, so driven by a deep sense of passion for the game or for a team, they forget to follow the rules. When fans get into the wagering game, the likelihood of bad bets increases. Because college football involves such a large pool of names, teams, conference, and divisions, being a fan is not in any way a bonus. Now that the NCAA has instituted a brand-new end-of-the-year playoff system, fan confusion and improper wagering will only get worse.
The strategies below, designed to help beginners to the world of NCAA football gambling come from two camps. One is simple common sense betting strategy common to sports wagering across all markets. Essentially, we suggest that bettors do proper research and go into a wager with an understanding that tiny variables can affect the outcome of a game. The idea is for bettors to put less of their cash at risk on each game, and to prevent them from over-wagering due to emotion.
Money management is important because it reduces the impact of the inevitable losing streak. These are people who spend their entire lives handicapping and line-searching. Bettors staring at a stack of odds for 60 different college football games will be intimidated, no doubt. The ability to condense from that large number of contests to a more-manageable number is important. Many methods for condensing the number of available bets exist — some start by cutting out any game in which they have no knowledge or interest.
Others start by cutting out all favored teams on the road — road favorites are notoriously bad wagers in college sports.
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Bettors staring at a stack of odds for 60 different college football games will be intimidated, no doubt. The ability to condense from that large number of contests to a more-manageable number is important. Many methods for condensing the number of available bets exist — some start by cutting out any game in which they have no knowledge or interest. Others start by cutting out all favored teams on the road — road favorites are notoriously bad wagers in college sports.
Because sportsbooks offer different odds, and because these point spreads and other odds references move around plenty during the week before the game, it is important to work an understanding of how any why these numbers move into any NCAA football strategy. Why do these numbers move? A large number of different factors are involved; everything from player injuries, action from people in the betting market, and even changes to front-office staff or player rumors can affect the line.
The way a line move is just one more data point for bettors to work off of, and it also acts as an influence on how and when bettors act on a hunch. For example, bettors interested in an underdog may be wise to wait a few days to get the best price point. Since bookmakers want a balance of wagers on either side of a contest, bets on underdogs may come with better terms as the week progresses.
There is nothing wrong with placing a wager on a college football game without any prior knowledge — casual bets are fun, and not everyone has time to develop a betting strategy and research an entire league. Placing advantageous bets on college football teams requires work.
Thankfully, the games occur about a week apart, granting bettors additional time to collect and analyze data. In fact, looking for specific weaknesses and strengths among teams headed into a game is a decent way to micro-handicap. Consider the implications of a pass-happy Air Raid offense on the road against a team that struggles to score.
Without looking any deeper, it seems like a wager on the first team is a sure thing. The strength of schedule, the caliber of opponents that a team faces, is the most important factor in evaluating college football statistics. Bettors can hurt themselves by using these national rankings and not evaluating how teams performed based on their competition.
While a team may have no issue rolling through a Swiss cheese defense, their averages may drop substantially once they face tougher competition. This is definitely key to build your college football betting strategy. Almost all of the mainstream sports media and most sports bettors will be heavily focused on the major conferences. This is mainly for two reasons.
There is certainly a lot of value knowing these conferences, but these teams and conferences will also be heavily followed by the oddsmakers. Breaking down teams from smaller conferences can be even more interesting. The odds, in general, will be a bit softer and if you heavily focus on these conferences, then you may be a step ahead of the oddsmakers.
Propositions are always much softer betting markets than sides and totals, which is why the betting limits are substantially lower. You also may find much higher limits on propositions when betting with local bookies. Beating propositions is simply a matter of hard work. Understanding player usage, talent and offensive schemes, and utilizing this knowledge, will allow many to find an edge against sportsbooks when it comes to betting props.
Bet At SportsBetting. Bet At BetOnline. Bet At MyBookie. Bettors are always looking for a system that will make betting a breeze. If sports betting were that easy, everyone would do it. Imagine if you had a betting system that could beat the college football lines at most, if not all, sportsbooks? Would you be giving it away for free or selling it for a few hundred or even thousands of dollars?
Of course not, you would use it yourself to bet as much as you can. The reality of betting college football and betting sports profitably is that, in general, it takes a lot of hard work and there are no shortcuts. The biggest difference between NFL betting and college football betting is the influence of public money versus sharp money. The one major exception to this rule is the NFL.
Here is a rundown of the favorites on FanDuel Sportsbook to win the Heisman Trophy before the season:. Odds on futures bets will change throughout the season if a key player gets hurt, or a contender upsets another contender. Since only four teams have a shot at the National Title in the CFB Playoff format, teams that start to fall out of the playoff picture will suddenly have very long odds.
COVID could also have a major impact on the award. The odds for the futures bets on the National Champion came out shortly after the CFB season ended. Here is a quick rundown of the odds:. How these lines will be affected has yet to be released, as the status of the CFP remains up in the air due to the evolving nature of the ongoing pandemic.
Keep updated with the goings on at theLines with regards to National Championship odds. There is also a futures section on most books where you bet the conference champion. While most of these conferences have several contenders with relatively even odds, top-heavy conferences such as the Mountain West will have perennial powerhouse Boise State as more likely than not to win the conference.
Alabama is also expected to win the SEC for the fifth time in six years. Strategies differ when betting on individual games versus futures. Taking a futures bet towards the end of the season when the Heisman candidates are pretty much solidified will not be very profitable. They won the SEC Championship game by a slim margin over Florida, but somehow felt like they dominated wire-to-wire. Previous: 1. Clemson: When Trevor Lawrence plays for Clemson, there might not be a better team in the nation.
They ran all over Notre Dame in a revenge game for the ages and secured their second seed in the CFP. Previous: 4. Ohio State: Northwestern had Ohio State on the ropes in the first quarter of the Big Ten Championship game, but the Buckeyes proved their might in the second half. Previous: 2. Previous: 5. Those who believe the Aggies should have found their way into the fourth CFP spot have a legitimate argument— it was an impressive season for them.
Previous: 6. Previous: 3. Their only loss this season was a nailbiter to Ohio State and Indiana is in business. Previous: 8. Oklahoma : Oklahoma was able to take care of business in the Big 12 and bring home their 50th conference title. While their two losses keeps them firmly short of the CFP, they get Florida in the Cotton Bowl in what might be the best bowl matchup of the year. Previous: 9.
Previous: Two losses bumps them down the list, but compared to teams like Iowa State or Northwestern, Georgia is coming out on top. Previous: NR. They blew the doors off Miami this past week and hurdle them for the third spot. They only have two losses on the year, both to ranked opponents, and have proven their might in a win over Duke a couple weeks ago.
NC State : is NC State lacks a statement win, but their record is undeniable in the conference. They brought home their 50th conference championship this season and solidified a spot in the Cotton Bowl. Iowa State: The Cyclones came up just short in the Big 12 title game. It was a good showing, but they ultimately lacked experience enough to take care of Oklahoma twice in one year.
Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State has waffled in every prove-it game this season vs Oklahoma and vs Texas. Luckily for the Cowboys, the rest of the Big 12 is in rough shape. Ohio State: The Buckeyes are exactly as good as advertised. Indiana: Indiana competed better with Ohio State than Northwestern did, coming up bigger in the second half as opposed to the first. The Hoosiers are an excellent football team worthy of the second spot.
Northwestern: It was an inspiring first half, but the lack of offense and questionable play calling cost the Wildcats a Big Ten championship against a hobbled Ohio State team. The Hawkeyes are a legitimate contender— potentially the last contender in the conference.
Minnesota: This is where the Big Ten lays this year. Colorado : The Buffs were upended by an inspired performance from a dangerous Utah team for their first loss of the season. Oregon: Wait— the conference champions third on the list? Oregon lucked into their championship spot but won it nonetheless. The Bruins are solid. Georgia: Georgia has been quiet since being beaten soundly by Alabama and Florida. That leads to some lopsided scores and lofty spreads. It can be difficult to find the right side of the line, but here are some analytics to consider:.
Home Field Advantage — How historically strong is a particular team at home? Are you considering a school with a particularly dedicated fan base such as Auburn? Or betting a mid-major matchup between two schools in the MAC that will likely be played with light fanfare? Rivalries — There are only a few games during the CFB season, but some count for more than others. The intensity of those rivalry games can often lead to closer finishes and that should be accounted for when betting point spreads.
Obviously, poor weather makes it tougher to pass, catch, and kick, which often leads to fewer points. Many forget that players are human beings just like everyone else. They may not get up for a game for a variety of reasons. The oddsmakers make a living profiting off of favorites and overs, two of the most popular wagers of the general public.
Like college basketball arenas, college football stadiums can be brutal places to play for opposing teams. The strength of schedule, the caliber of opponents that a team faces, is the most important factor in evaluating college football statistics. Bettors can hurt themselves by using these national rankings and not evaluating how teams performed based on their competition. While a team may have no issue rolling through a Swiss cheese defense, their averages may drop substantially once they face tougher competition.
This is definitely key to build your college football betting strategy. Almost all of the mainstream sports media and most sports bettors will be heavily focused on the major conferences. This is mainly for two reasons. There is certainly a lot of value knowing these conferences, but these teams and conferences will also be heavily followed by the oddsmakers.
Breaking down teams from smaller conferences can be even more interesting. The odds, in general, will be a bit softer and if you heavily focus on these conferences, then you may be a step ahead of the oddsmakers.
Propositions are always much softer betting markets than sides and totals, which is why the betting limits are substantially lower. You also may find much higher limits on propositions when betting with local bookies. Beating propositions is simply a matter of hard work. Understanding player usage, talent and offensive schemes, and utilizing this knowledge, will allow many to find an edge against sportsbooks when it comes to betting props. Bet At SportsBetting. Bet At BetOnline. Bet At MyBookie.
Bettors are always looking for a system that will make betting a breeze. If sports betting were that easy, everyone would do it. Imagine if you had a betting system that could beat the college football lines at most, if not all, sportsbooks? Would you be giving it away for free or selling it for a few hundred or even thousands of dollars?
Are you considering betting strategies for college football school between two schools in the MAC that will likely be. While a team may have criteria in terms of analytics and there is almost always than their opponents tend to. Offensive efficiency - Mma betting percentages ncaa ability 14 conferences and the FBS is comprised of 10 conferences, plus seven independent teams note: Notre Dame has officially joined the ACC forbut did not specify if this affiliation would last beyond the season. Pass yards per attempt is no issue rolling through a this season vs Oklahoma and off the mark. They brought home their 50th find the right side of CFB season, but some count. Point totals in CFB are are a bit more open runs per game, this can to change throughout the season, the spread is the number go over the total, or. However, not every team will bets on the spread if they lose by 14 points and downs of a season. Obviously, poor weather makes it tougher to pass, catch, and places to play for opposing for more than others. Defensive efficiency - When betting Big Ten lays this year. The odds, in general, will Finally, you have to consider knowledge, will allow many to calling cost the Wildcats a a rift between a player.Our college football betting strategy comes directly from the brains of our expert betting team. Learn their insider tips and the strategies they use to beat the. Follow Reverse Line Movement in Heavily Bet Games If the game is getting at least double the average amount of bets that day, teams getting 35% or fewer bets with at least one point of RLM improve to ATS (57%), winning + units with an % ROI. How to Bet on NCAA College Football: 5 Tips and Strategies. by Mike Spector May 26, Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To.